构建商丘地区物流园的研究

物流管理毕业论文

高等教育自学考试毕业论文封面

市地： 济南市

专 业 物流管理 姓名 档案号 邮编 250104 论文 页数 联系电话 准考证号 通讯地址 山东省济南市高新区大正路山东英才学院 论文题目 构建商丘地区物流园区的研究 指导老师 指 导 教 师 评 估 评 审 意 见 答 辩 评 语 温艳 吴剑云 19页 签名 签名 签名 毕业考核成绩

物流管理毕业论文

主考院校盖章 年 月 日

物流管理毕业论文

构建商丘地区物流园区的研究

摘要

在当今社会,发展物流业己经成为提升一个城市综合经济竞争能力的有效手段,物流园区作为现代物流系统的重要节点,对于提高物流的组织化水平和集约化程度发展具有重要意义。近几年,商丘市物流业的迅速发展,对其物流的处理能力也提出了严峻要求,商丘市市长也提出要大力发展物流载体。结合商丘市实际,对商丘市物流园区的需求量预测和布局规划进行了深入的研究。并对商丘地区现状进行了详细的SWOT分析,确定了商丘物流园区的类型、功能区定位及发展方向。

关键词: 物流园区 SWOT分析 需求预测 园区运营模式 园区选址

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物流管理毕业论文

Research on construction of shangqiu

region logistics park

ABSTRACT

Under the background of economic globalization, the development of modern logistics industry has become a city improve comprehensive economic competition ability of the effective means, logistics park as an important node of modern logistics system, to improve the level of logistics organization and the intensive degree of development is of great significance. shangqiu city in recent years the rapid development of the logistics industry, the logistics capacity also raised serious requirement, shangqiu \In this paper, combining the reality of shangqiu city of shangqiu demand forecasting and layout planning of logistics park of further research. And a detailed SWOT

analysis on the current situation in shangqiu area, determine the types of logistics park in shangqiu, function orientation and development direction.

Keywords: logistics park, the SWOT analysis , demand forecasting , the operation mode, park location

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物流管理毕业论文

目录

1.引言 ............................................................................................................................................... 4

1.1 研究背景 ............................................................................................................................ 4 1.2 研究意义 ............................................................................................................................ 4 .需求预测.......................................................................................................................................... 5

2.1预测的基本概念 ................................................................................................................. 5 2.2预测的基本原理 ................................................................................................................. 5

2.2.1惯性原理 .................................................................................................................. 5 2.2.2类推原理 .................................................................................................................. 5 2.2.3相关原理 .................................................................................................................. 5 2.3物流需求预测的作用 ......................................................................................................... 5 2.4物流预测常用的方法 ......................................................................................................... 6

2.4.1定性预测 .................................................................................................................. 6 2.4.2时间序列预测法 ...................................................................................................... 6 2.4.3回归预测法 .............................................................................................................. 6 2.5商丘物流园区其他物流量预测 ......................................................................................... 7

2.5.1铁路货运吞吐量预测 .............................................................................................. 7 2.5.3 粮食产量预测 ......................................................................................................... 9 2.5.4集装箱量预测 ........................................................................................................ 10

3.商丘物流园区规划建设分析 ...................................................................................................... 11

3. 1物流园区规划基本理论 .................................................................................................. 11 3.2商丘物流园区现状SWOT分析 ..................................................................................... 11

3.2.1优势分析 ................................................................................................................ 12 3.2.2 劣势分析 ............................................................................................................... 13 3.2.3机会分析 ................................................................................................................ 14

4.商丘物流园区运营模式分析 ...................................................................................................... 15

4.1抓住重点,发挥优势,寻求突破 ......................................................................................... 15 4.2紧密跟踪市场,确立市场主导理念 .................................................................................. 15 5.物流园区的选址 .......................................................................................................................... 16 6.物流园区总体布局 ...................................................................................................................... 17

6.1物流园区总体布局形式 ........................................................................................... 17 6.2物流园区功能 ................................................................................................................... 18 6.3合理布局的作用 ............................................................................................................... 18 7.结论 ............................................................................................................................................. 19 致 谢 .............................................................................................................................................. 20 参考文献......................................................................................................................................... 21

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